Monday, November 02, 1998

Election '98 Media Study

DATA SHEET AND METHODOLOGY

Fact Sheet 1

Our Media Monitoring Unit analysed prime time ABC News, National Nine News, Seven Nightly News and Ten News broadcasts from September 7-13, 1998.  Rehame Media Monitoring Services selected all reports concerning the Federal election from each program for our analysis.

Based on methodology developed by the Fraser Institute, based in Vancouver, Canada, our researchers watched all election reports for information and commentary on Coalition or Labor Party policies.

Each comment on Coalition or Labor platforms was identified and coded according to the source (journalist, politician, expert, general public, etc.), the party (Coalition or Labor), the policy issue (health policy, tax reform, communications, etc.) and the appraisal (neutral, favourable, unfavourable).  Each appraisal was discussed by two researchers, and in the case of a disagreement between the researchers, an arbitrator was asked to make the final decision.  Appraisals were based on explicit assessments ("such and such a policy is good for Australia") or the potential impact ("the G.S.T. will raise the price of petrol in the bush").

Results were recorded in an Microsoft Access database for retrieval and analysis.


NEGATIVITY OF TV NEWS

CommentsObservations
All networks:
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

32
36
96
164

19.5%
22.0%
58.5%
100.0%
ABC:
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

10
14
40
64

15.6%
21.9%
62.5%
100.0%
Commercial:
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

22
22
56
100

22.0%
22.0%
56.0%
100.0%

ABC PROVIDES MOST POLICY NEWS

Observations
Networks:
  ABC
  Ten
  Seven
  Nine
  Total

64
53
28
19
164

39.0%
32.3%
17.1%
11.6%
100.0%

FOCUS ON COALITION PLATFORM

Observations
All networks:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

107
57
164

65.2%
34.8%
100.0%
ABC:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

50
14
64

78.1%
21.9%
100.0%
Commercial:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

57
43
100

57.0%
43.0%
100.0%

CRITICISMS FOCUS ON COALITION

Observations
All networks:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

70
26
96

72.9%
27.1%
100.0%
ABC:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

33
7
40

82.5%
17.5%
100.0%
Commercial:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

37
19
56

66.1%
33.9%
100.0%

POSITIVE-NEGATIVE BALANCE

ObservationsRatio
(pro Party & con opponent)
All networks:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

48
84
132

1.75 to 1
ABC:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

17
37
54

2.2 to 1
Commercial:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

31
47
78

1.5 to 1

Fact Sheet 2

Our Media Monitoring Unit analysed prime time ABC News, National Nine News, Seven Nightly News and Ten News broadcasts from September 7-13 (week 2) & 14-20 (week 3) 1998. These are the results for all election reports for information and commentary on Coalition or Labor Party policies.

TAX DOMINATES POLICY ISSUES

Observations -- all Networks:
CoalitionALP
  Taxation20039%14456
  Employment8517%7114
  Education489%1137
  Law & Order357%350
  Industry Policy336%285
  Communications214%
  Social policy194%Total top 5 issues
  Government spending184%289112
  Health & Aged Care163%
  Arts, Culture & Heritage92%
  Economic Management82%
  Industrial Relations82%
  Indigenous issues71%
  Environment41%
  Total511100%

Fact Sheet 3

Our Media Monitoring Unit analysed prime time ABC News, National Nine News, Seven Nightly News and Ten News broadcasts from August 31-September 6 (week 1), September 7-13 (week 2), 14-20 (week 3) & 21-27 (week 4) 1998. These are the results for all election reports for information and commentary on Coalition or Labor Party policies.

TAX, THEN EMPLOYMENT, DOMINATES POLICY ISSUES

Observations -- all Networks:
CoalitionALP
  Taxation51540%398117
  Employment29223%120172
  Past Record615%952
  Health & Aged Care574%3423
  Industry Policy514%2823
  Economic Management504%
  Education504%Total top 5 issues
  Environment494%589387
  Social policy454%
  Law & Order353%
  Communications242%
  Government spending181%
  Industrial Relations111%
  Arts, Culture & Heritage91%
  Indigenous issues71%
  Privatisation50.4%
  Total1279100%

CommercialsABC
Coalition Tax Policy
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

45
51
139
 235

19%
22%
59%
100%

30
40
93
 163

18%
25%
57%
100%
ALP Employment Policy
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

38
28
50
116

33%
24%
43%
100%

15
16
24
56

29%
29%
43%
100%
Coalition Employment Policy
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

18
13
35
66

27%
20%
53%
100%

11
12
31
54

20%
22%
57%
100%
ALP Tax Policy
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

8
17
48
73

11%
23%
66%
100%

2
10
32
44

5%
23%
73%
100%

WEEK 4: TV NEWS POLICY COVERAGE BECOME MORE NEGATIVE

Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Cumulative
Comments
All networks:
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

113
95
194
 402

28%
24%
48%
100%

32
36
96
 164

20%
22%
59%
100%

121
83
159
 363

33%
23%
44%
100%

81
75
194
 350

23%
21%
55%
100%

347
289
643
1279

27%
23%
50%
100%
ABC:
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

35
30
75
140

25%
21%
54%
100%

10
14
40
64

16%
22%
63%
100%

31
40
59
130

24%
31%
45%
100%

30
33
85
148

20%
22%
57%
100%

106
117
259
482

22%
24%
54%
100%
Commercials:
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

78
65
119
262

30%
25%
45%
100%

22
22
56
100

22%
22%
56%
100%

90
43
100
233

39%
18%
43%
100%

51
42
109
202

25%
21%
54%
100%

241
172
384
797

30%
22%
48%
100%

WEEK 4: TV NEWS POLICY COVERAGE BECOME MORE NEGATIVE

Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Cumulative
Total Observations for each Major Party
All networks:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

242
160
 402

60%
40%
100%

107
57
 164

65%
35%
100%

264
99
 363

73%
27%
100%

188
162
 350

54%
46%
100%

801
478
1279

63%
37%
100%
ABC:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

92
48
140

66%
34%
100%

50
14
64

78%
22%
100%

85
45
130

65%
35%
100%

94
54
148

64%
36%
100%

321
161
482

67%
33%
100%
Commercials:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

150
112
262

57%
43%
100%

57
43
100

57%
43%
100%

179
54
233

77%
23%
100%

94
108
202

47%
53%
100%

480
317
797

60%
40%
100%

WEEK 4: COMMERCIALS' NEGATIVE COVERAGE BECOME MORE BALANCED

Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Cumulative
Negative Comments for each Major Party
All networks:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

119
75
 194

61%
39%
100%

70
26
  96

73%
27%
100%

110
49
 159

69%
31%
100%

113
81
 194

58%
42%
100%

412
231
 643

64%
36%
100%
ABC:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

49
26
75

65%
35%
100%

33
7
40

83%
18%
100%

30
29
59

51%
49%
100%

59
26
85

69%
31%
100%

171
88
259

66%
34%
100%
Commercials:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

70
49
119

59%
41%
100%

37
19
56

66%
34%
100%

80
20
100

80%
20%
100%

54
55
109

50%
50%
100%

241
143
384

63%
37%
100%

Fact Sheet 4

Our Media Monitoring Unit analysed prime time ABC News, National Nine News, Seven Nightly News and Ten News broadcasts from August 31-September 6 (week 1), September 7-13 (week 2), 14-20 (week 3), 21-27 (week 4) & September 28-October 2 (week 5) 1998. These are the results for all election reports for information and commentary on Coalition or Labor Party policies.

TAX, THEN EMPLOYMENT, DOMINATES POLICY ISSUES

Observations -- all Networks:
CoalitionALP
  Taxation65344%511142
  Employment31021%123187
  Past Record675%1057
  Health & Aged Care614%3724
  Economic Management534%485
  Industry Policy513%
  Education513%Total top 5 issues
  Environment503%729415
  Social policy453%
  Communications362%
  Law & Order352%
  Industrial Relations302%
  Government spending181%
  Arts, Culture & Heritage91%
  Indigenous issues70%
  Privatisation50.3%
  Total1481100%

CommercialsABC
Coalition Tax Policy
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

54
70
198
 322

17%
22%
61%
100%

33
44
112
 189

17%
23%
59%
100%
ALP Employment Policy
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

41
29
55
125

33%
23%
44%
100%

17
17
28
62

27%
27%
45%
100%
Coalition Employment Policy
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

18
13
37
68

26%
19%
54%
100%

11
12
32
55

20%
22%
58%
100%
ALP Tax Policy
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

8
17
59
84

10%
20%
70%
100%

4
11
43
58

7%
19%
74%
100%

WEEK 5: TV NEWS POLICY COVERAGE BECOME MUCH MORE NEGATIVE

Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Cumulative
Comments
All networks:
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

113
95
194
 402

28%
24%
48%
100%

32
36
96
 164

20%
22%
59%
100%

121
83
159
 363

33%
23%
44%
100%

81
75
194
 350

23%
21%
55%
100%

23
29
150
 202

11%
14%
74%
100%

370
318
793
1481

25%
21%
54%
100%
ABC:
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

35
30
75
140

25%
21%
54%
100%

10
14
40
64

16%
22%
63%
100%

31
40
59
130

24%
31%
45%
100%

30
33
85
148

20%
22%
57%
100%

7
8
47
62

11%
13%
76%
100%

113
125
306
544

21%
23%
56%
100%
Commercials:
  Neutral
  Positive
  Negative
  Total

78
65
119
262

30%
25%
45%
100%

22
22
56
100

22%
22%
56%
100%

90
43
100
233

39%
18%
43%
100%

51
42
109
202

25%
21%
54%
100%

16
21
103
140

11%
15%
74%
100%

257
193
487
937

27%
21%
52%
100%

WEEK 5: COMMERCIALS' NEGATIVE COVERAGE BECOME VERY HOSTILE TO COALITION

Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Cumulative
Negative Comments for each Major Party
All networks:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

119
75
 194

61%
39%
100%

70
26
  96

73%
27%
100%

110
49
 159

69%
31%
100%

113
81
 194

58%
42%
100%

114
36
 150

76%
24%
100%

526
267
 793

64%
36%
100%
ABC:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

49
26
75

65%
35%
100%

33
7
40

83%
18%
100%

30
29
59

51%
49%
100%

59
26
85

69%
31%
100%

29
18
47

62%
38%
100%

200
106
306

65%
35%
100%
Commercials:
  Coalition
  Labor
  Total

70
49
119

59%
41%
100%

37
19
56

66%
34%
100%

80
20
100

80%
20%
100%

54
55
109

50%
50%
100%

85
18
103

83%
17%
100%

326
161
487

67%
33%
100%

POSITIVE―NEGATIVE BALANCE

Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Cumulative
Ratio of positive―ALP―and―negative―Coalition comments to positive―Coalition―and―negative―ALP comments.
RatioRatioRatioRatioRatioRatio
All networks:
  Coalition
  Labor

131
158


1.14 to 1

48
84


1.75 to 1

113
129


1.14 to 1

124
145


1.17 to 1

61
118


1.9 to 1

477
634


1.33 to 1
ABC:
  Coalition
  Labor

45
60


1.33 to 1

17
37


2.2 to 1

61
38

1 to 1.6

46
72


1.6 to 1

24
31


1.3 to 1

193
238


1.23 to 1
Commercials:
  Coalition
  Labor

86
98


1.14 to 1

31
47


1.5 to 1

52
91


1.75 to 1

78
73

1 to 1.1

37
87


2.35 to 1

284
396


1.4 to 1
Seven:
  Coalition
  Labor

22
29


1.32 to 1

12
11

1 to 1.1

12
15


1.25 to 1

10
14


1.4 to 1

11
25


2.3 to 1

67
94


1.4 to 1
Ten:
  Coalition
  Labor

33
38


1.15 to 1

15
24


1.6 to 1

21
40


1.9 to 1

26
27


1 to 1

8
36


4.5 to 1

103
165


1.6 to 1
Nine:
  Coalition
  Labor

31
31

1 to 1

4
12


3 to 1

19
36


1.9 to 1

42
32

1 to 1.3

18
26


1.4 to 1

114
137


1.2 to 1

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